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MLB ALCS Game 6 · October 19, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

Guardians vs. Rays Recap: Guardians 3, Rays 7

Final score

TeamRHE
Cleveland Guardians370
Tampa Bay Rays770

W: Freddy Peralta · L: Shawn Armstrong

Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays, Tropicana Field. Series before this game: TB leads 3-2.

Odyn's pick

Settled

Starting pitchers

Guardians

Shawn Armstrong

Rays

Freddy Peralta (RHP, starter): 10-11, 4.42 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 156 K and 63 BB in 169.0 IP

Regular season

TeamRecordRun differential
Cleveland Guardians85-77+11
Tampa Bay Rays98-64+86

Series so far

GameAwayHome
ALCS Game 1Cleveland Guardians 7Tampa Bay Rays 3
ALCS Game 2Cleveland Guardians 1Tampa Bay Rays 3
ALCS Game 3Tampa Bay Rays 2Cleveland Guardians 3
ALCS Game 4Tampa Bay Rays 7Cleveland Guardians 3
ALCS Game 5Tampa Bay Rays 3Cleveland Guardians 1

More from this series: ALCS Game 4 (October 17, 2026) · ALCS Game 5 (October 18, 2026).

Pregame analysis

Written before the game.

Rays vs Guardians, ALCS Game 6, is on today at Tropicana Field, and Tampa Bay leads the series 3-2. One more win sends the Rays to the World Series. Cleveland has to win tonight to force a Game 7, set for Tuesday in the same ballpark.

Tampa Bay has the momentum. After dropping Game 1 7-3 at home, the Rays took Game 2 3-1, lost Game 3 3-2 in Cleveland, then won the last two on the road: 7-3 in Game 4 and 3-1 in Game 5 on Sunday. Three of the five games were decided by two runs or fewer, and Cleveland scored just one run in both Game 2 and Game 5.

Freddy Peralta starts for Tampa Bay. The right-hander went 10-11 with a 4.42 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 32 starts and 169 innings, with 156 strikeouts and 63 walks. His numbers are a step below the other Rays starters in this series, so the first innings matter. Cleveland has not announced its starter yet.

Over the regular season Tampa Bay was the better team, 98-64 with a +86 run differential, against Cleveland's 85-77 and +11. The Rays are back home, where the teams split Games 1 and 2. Odyn's AI quant model runs this game about an hour before first pitch, once both lineups are confirmed.

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Updated Oct 22, 11:18 AM ET.

By the Odyn Team · 21+ · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER · Responsible gambling