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MLB ALCS Game 4 · October 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Rays vs. Guardians Recap: Rays 7, Guardians 3
Final score
| Team | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 8 | 2 |
W: Nick Martinez · L: Daniel Espino
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians, Progressive Field. Series before this game: CLE leads 2-1.
Odyn's pick
Settled- Cleveland Guardians ML (+102) · lost -1.00u
Starting pitchers
Rays
Nick Martinez (RHP, starter): 15-6, 3.10 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 109 K and 26 BB in 180.0 IP
Guardians
Shawn Armstrong (RHP, reliever): 2-1, 4.58 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 34 K and 19 BB in 35.1 IP
Regular season
| Team | Record | Run differential |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 98-64 | +86 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 85-77 | +11 |
Series so far
| Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| ALCS Game 1 | Cleveland Guardians 7 | Tampa Bay Rays 3 |
| ALCS Game 2 | Cleveland Guardians 1 | Tampa Bay Rays 3 |
| ALCS Game 3 | Tampa Bay Rays 2 | Cleveland Guardians 3 |
Pregame analysis
Written before the game.
Rays vs Guardians, ALCS Game 4, is on tonight at Progressive Field after Friday's scheduled game was not played. Cleveland leads the series 2-1 after a one-run 3-2 win in Game 3. The first two games in Tampa Bay were split: Cleveland took Game 1 7-3, and the Rays answered 3-1 in Game 2. A Rays win today evens the series; a Cleveland win puts the Guardians one game from the World Series, with Game 5 set for Sunday in Cleveland.
The pitching matchup is lopsided on paper. Nick Martinez was one of Tampa Bay's steadiest starters this season: 15-6 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 31 starts and 180 innings. He doesn't pile up strikeouts (109), but he walked only 26 batters all year, which keeps traffic off the bases.
Cleveland lists Shawn Armstrong, a reliever with 41 appearances and no starts this season (4.58 ERA, 1.39 WHIP). That points to an opener and a bullpen game, which puts the weight on Cleveland's relief depth in a series where two of three games were decided by two runs or fewer.
Over the regular season Tampa Bay was the stronger team, 98-64 with a +86 run differential, against Cleveland's 85-77 and +11. Odyn's AI quant model runs this game about an hour before first pitch, once both lineups are confirmed.
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Updated Oct 20, 06:15 PM ET.
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