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NFL Week 8 · November 1, 2026, 4:25 PM ET

Patriots vs. Dolphins Prediction & Preview

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins, Hard Rock Stadium.

Patriots vs Dolphins prediction

The odds favor the New England Patriots: 76.0% to win (moneyline -380), with the sportsbook's margin removed. The spread is NE -7 and the total 44.5. That is the market's view. Odyn's AI quant model makes its own call before kickoff: unlock the Patriots vs Dolphins pick free.

Patriots vs Dolphins preview

Patriots vs Dolphins is an AFC East game in Week 8, Sunday, November 1 at 4:25 PM ET at Hard Rock Stadium, on CBS. New England is 4-3, perfect at home at 3-0 but 1-3 on the road; Miami is 1-5 and has lost both of its home games.

The Patriots gain 383.4 yards a game, 261.4 of them passing, and score 22.9 points while allowing 20.4 points and 334.3 yards. Drake Maye has 1,784 passing yards, 13 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, Hunter Henry leads the receivers with 26 catches for 296 yards and 2 touchdowns, and Rhamondre Stevenson has 285 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Cornerbacks Carlton Davis III, Channing Canada and Karon Prunty are out, with center Ben Brown, defensive tackle Joshua Farmer and quarterback Behren Morton; guard Alijah Vera-Tucker and tackle Marcus Bryant are on injured reserve.

Miami scores 16.3 points a game and allows 26.2, on 307.7 yards gained and 346.3 allowed, with the run game (131.5 yards a game) ahead of the pass (176.2). Malik Willis is the passing leader with 1,057 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, Ollie Gordon II has 339 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns, and Malik Washington has 26 catches for 289 yards. Receiver Jalen Tolbert, linebacker Willie Gay Jr., defensive end Robert Beal Jr., cornerbacks Marcellas Dial Jr. and Reese Taylor, guard DJ Campbell and tackle Chukwuebuka Godrick are out; running back Jaylen Wright is questionable. Odyn's AI quant model runs this game before kickoff, injury report included.

Odyn's pick

Pick drops before kickoff

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Patriots vs Dolphins spread & over/under

Spread NE -7 · Over/under 44.5

Lines move until kickoff.

Win probability from the odds

Patriots 76.0% · Dolphins 24.0%

From the moneyline (Patriots -380, Dolphins +300) with the sportsbook's margin removed. Odds move until kickoff. Check any line with the no-vig calculator, or price a multi-game ticket with the parlay calculator.

That's the sportsbook's view. Odyn's AI quant model makes its own call: members see whether it bets Patriots vs Dolphins, with its win probability. Unlock the pick free for 7 days

How to watch Patriots vs Dolphins

Patriots vs Dolphins: team stats & injury report

New England Patriots

Record4-3
Home3-0
Road1-3
Points per game22.9
Points allowed per game20.4
Yards per game383.4
Passing yards per game261.4
Rushing yards per game122.0
  • Passing: Drake Maye (141/214, 1784 YDS, 13 TD, 8 INT)
  • Rushing: Rhamondre Stevenson (77 CAR, 285 YDS, 2 TD)
  • Receiving: Hunter Henry (26 REC, 296 YDS, 2 TD)

Injury report: Behren Morton (QB, Out); Ben Brown (C, Out); Carlton Davis III (CB, Out); Channing Canada (CB, Out); Joshua Farmer (DT, Out); Karon Prunty (CB, Out); Alijah Vera-Tucker (G, Injured Reserve); Marcus Bryant (OT, Injured Reserve)

Miami Dolphins

Record1-5
Home0-2
Road1-3
Points per game16.3
Points allowed per game26.2
Yards per game307.7
Passing yards per game176.2
Rushing yards per game131.5
  • Passing: Malik Willis (87/151, 1057 YDS, 4 TD, 4 INT)
  • Rushing: Ollie Gordon II (72 CAR, 339 YDS, 4 TD)
  • Receiving: Malik Washington (26 REC, 289 YDS)

Injury report: Chukwuebuka Godrick (OT, Out); DJ Campbell (G, Out); Jalen Tolbert (WR, Out); Marcellas Dial Jr. (CB, Out); Reese Taylor (CB, Out); Robert Beal Jr. (DE, Out); Willie Gay Jr. (LB, Out); Jaylen Wright (RB, Questionable)

Injury reports: Patriots · Dolphins · every NFL team · how the odds moved: NFL line movement.

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Updated Oct 26, 10:01 AM ET.

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