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NBA · October 28, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Preview

Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks, State Farm Arena. First of 4 regular-season meetings.

Heat vs Hawks prediction

The sportsbooks have not posted a moneyline for this game yet. Odyn's AI quant model makes its own call before tip-off: unlock the Heat vs Hawks pick free.

Heat vs Hawks preview

Heat vs Hawks tips off on Wednesday, October 28 at 7:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, the first of four meetings between the Southeast Division rivals this season. Miami is 0-4 and still looking for its first win; Atlanta is 2-2 after two straight losses to Houston.

The Heat lost 131-106 at home to Minnesota on October 21, 128-111 at home to Detroit on October 23, 115-110 at Charlotte on October 24 and 113-109 at home to Dallas on October 26. Miami scores 109.0 points a game and allows 121.8. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the team with 28.5 points and 9.5 rebounds a game, and Davion Mitchell leads the assists at 7.0. Last season the Heat went 43-39, 10th in the East, scoring 120.9 points a game and allowing 118.5. Nobody is on Miami's injury report.

Atlanta won 132-125 at Orlando on October 21 and 128-81 at Charlotte on October 23, then lost 121-114 at home to Houston on October 24 and 120-110 in Houston on October 26. The Hawks score 121.0 points a game and allow 111.8. Jalen Johnson leads them in every category with 21.5 points, 9.8 rebounds and 8.2 assists a game. Last season Atlanta went 46-36 as the No. 6 seed in the East, scoring 118.5 and allowing 116.0. Center Henri Veesaar and forward Mouhamed Gueye are out. Odyn's AI quant model runs this game before tip-off, injury report included.

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Heat vs Hawks: team stats & injury report

Miami Heat

Record0-4
Home0-3
Road0-1
Points per game109.0
Points allowed per game121.8

Last season (2025-26: 43-39, 120.9 points per game, 118.5 allowed, No. 10 seed in the East)

Team leaders

  • Points per game: Giannis Antetokounmpo (28.5)
  • Rebounds per game: Giannis Antetokounmpo (9.5)
  • Assists per game: Davion Mitchell (7.0)

Last 5 games played (preseason and playoffs included):

  • 10/26 vs Dallas Mavericks: L 113-109
  • 10/24 @ Charlotte Hornets: L 115-110
  • 10/23 vs Detroit Pistons: L 128-111
  • 10/21 vs Minnesota Timberwolves: L 131-106
  • 10/16 @ Orlando Magic: L 136-115

Injury report: nobody listed.

Atlanta Hawks

Record2-2
Home0-1
Road2-1
Points per game121.0
Points allowed per game111.8

Last season (2025-26: 46-36, 118.5 points per game, 116.0 allowed, No. 6 seed in the East)

Team leaders

  • Points per game: Jalen Johnson (21.5)
  • Rebounds per game: Jalen Johnson (9.8)
  • Assists per game: Jalen Johnson (8.2)

Last 5 games played (preseason and playoffs included):

  • 10/26 @ Houston Rockets: L 120-110
  • 10/24 vs Houston Rockets: L 121-114
  • 10/23 @ Charlotte Hornets: W 128-81
  • 10/21 @ Orlando Magic: W 132-125
  • 10/16 @ Dallas Mavericks: W 135-111

Injury report: Henri Veesaar (C, Out); Mouhamed Gueye (F, Out)

Injury reports: Heat · Hawks · every NBA team · how the odds moved: NBA line movement.

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Updated Oct 27, 09:37 AM ET.

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